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My figures above are stripped of the approx. $250m+ annual additions of cost items that have little to do with operations - items ranging from adjustments for the value of sold properties, through cash bonuses paid to Amoun Pharmaceuticals employees and legal fees, all the way to the 300-pound gorilla - share-based compensation. At least Valeant had to discontinue the nasty practice of adjusting cash flows, so that at least investors could see what really flowed out and what came into the firm as hard cash. 3. Brodalumab expectations Some of the readers on Seeking Alpha took it as an insult when I published my previous article and quoted figures of what analysts from Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB ), Evercore and BMO Capital Markets assume to be the annual sales of Brodalumab in the near future (2017-2018). Hence, I've decided to take a more in-depth look at the product offering of Valeant's competitors in the psoriasis field and estimate whether Brodalumab could really challenge the leader Stelara as well as disrupt high growth products like Cosentyx (Novartis (NYSE: NVS )), Humira (AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV )) and Taltz (Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY )). From the FDA and market reports and materials I've read in the last few days on this topic, both analysts and dermatologists agree that at more than $2.5bn in sales Stelara has reached a plateau and sales are likely to remain mostly flat going forward. Doctors are the first to voice the opinion that Stelara is actually NOT the best treatment available on the market now. Nevertheless, their position (~40% market share globally) remains unchallenged despite the very high costs of more than $1,000 per month for treatment.
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